Tuesday, July 18, 2023

The US's strategic plans to establish naval logistics hubs in India, aimed at countering China. The US and the BRICS, India want to keep its feet on both boats? #US #India #China #BRICS




How India will be able to keep its feet on both boats?

The United States' strategic plans to establish naval logistics hubs in India are aimed at countering China's growing military presence in the Indo-Pacific region. China has been expanding its navy and building up its military bases in the region, and the United States sees India as a key ally in countering this.

India is a member of BRICS, an informal association of five major emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. BRICS countries have been working together to promote economic cooperation and development, and they have also been cooperating on security issues.

India's membership in BRICS could complicate its efforts to keep its feet on both boats in the US-China rivalry. On the one hand, India needs to maintain good relations with China in order to promote economic cooperation and avoid conflict. On the other hand, India needs to cooperate with the United States in order to counter China's growing military presence in the region.

It is possible that India will be able to maintain good relations with both the United States and China. However, it will be a delicate balancing act, and India will need to be careful not to alienate either country.

Here are some possible ways that India could keep its feet on both boats: 
  • Focus on economic cooperation with BRICS countries. India could focus on promoting economic cooperation with BRICS countries, such as through trade agreements and joint investment projects. This would help to strengthen India's ties with BRICS countries and reduce its reliance on the United States for economic growth.
  • Maintain a strong military presence in the Indian Ocean. India could maintain a strong military presence in the Indian Ocean, which would help to deter China from taking any aggressive actions in the region. This would also send a signal to the United States that India is a reliable partner in the Indo-Pacific region.
  • Pursue a "multipolar" foreign policy. India could pursue a "multipolar" foreign policy, which would involve balancing its relations with the United States and China. This would allow India to maintain good relations with both countries and avoid being drawn into any conflict between them.
It is too early to say how India will be able to keep its feet on both boats in the US-China rivalry. However, the ways that I have mentioned above are some possible strategies that India could adopt.

History will repeat itself?

It is possible that history is repeating itself. India's current cooperation with the United States on issues such as the Indo-Pacific and the Quad could lead to a similar backlash from China. China could see India's cooperation with the United States as a threat to its interests in the region, and it could take military action against India.

However, it is also possible that India will be able to avoid a repeat of the 1962 war. India is now a much stronger country than it was in the 1960s, and it has a strong military alliance with Russia. China is also aware of the risks of a war with India, and it may be reluctant to take military action.

Ultimately, it is too early to say whether history will repeat itself. However, India's cooperation with the United States is a risk, and India will need to be careful not to alienate China.

Here are some of the factors that could influence whether history repeats itself:
  • The strength of India's military alliance with Russia.
  • The level of China's economic dependence on India.
  • The degree of cooperation between India and the United States on security issues.
  • The level of tensions between China and India over border disputes.
It is important to note that the 1962 Sino-Indian War was a complex event with many causes. It is not possible to say with certainty that India's cooperation with the United States was the sole or even the main factor that led to the war. However, it is clear that the war had a significant impact on India's foreign policy, and it is possible that history could repeat itself if India's cooperation with the United States leads to a similar backlash from China.


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